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Springvale vs Box Hill

Australia Australia

Victoria Premier League 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Okamoto R.
45' Event
Siamoa G.
57' Event
Varelas N.

AI Match Summary

The Victoria Premier League 2 game between Springvale and Box Hill finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Box Hill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Springvale
15%
Draws
46%
Box Hill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Box Hill

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Box Hill come out ahead of Springvale on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Springvale's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Victoria Premier League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Springvale Clean Sheet 15%
Box Hill Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Springvale Box Hill
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Box Hill vs Springvale
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 Victoria Premier League 2
Springvale vs Box Hill
1:3
Sep 7, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Springvale vs Box Hill
1:1
May 5, 2019 Victoria Premier League
Box Hill vs Springvale
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Springvale Compare

Top Goalscorer Siamoa G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Box Hill Compare

Top Goalscorer Okamoto R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Varelas N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Springvale 35 / 100
Box Hill 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Springvale Box Hill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Box Hill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Springvale's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Springvale went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Springvale VS Box Hill
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Springvale

(Home)
29 Aug
Springvale
0 : 1
Bayside Argonauts
22 Aug
Werribee City
1 : 3
Springvale
14 Aug
Springvale
2 : 5
Malvern City
31 Jul
Kingston City
0 : 1
Springvale
25 Jul
Goulburn Valley Suns
2 : 1
Springvale
Page 1 of 6

Box Hill

(Away)
12 Sept
Bayside Argonauts
3 : 2
Box Hill
29 Aug
Goulburn Valley Suns
3 : 0
Box Hill
21 Aug
Box Hill
1 : 0
Nunawading City
15 Aug
Moreland City
2 : 2
Box Hill
07 Aug
Bayside Argonauts
0 : 1
Box Hill
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Goulburn Valley Suns 26 18 3 5 60:35 57
2 Malvern City 26 18 2 6 66:33 56
3 Bayside Argonauts 26 15 5 6 47:32 50
4 Essendon Royals 26 15 3 8 63:42 48
5 Keilor Park 26 14 2 10 39:37 44
6 Box Hill 26 11 7 8 37:32 40
7 Whittlesea United 26 9 10 7 49:32 37
8 Springvale 26 9 5 12 32:46 32
9 Eastern Lions 26 7 9 10 43:43 30
10 Kingston City 26 9 3 14 37:55 30
11 Nunawading City 26 8 5 13 29:44 29
12 Werribee City 26 6 6 14 37:50 24
13 Altona City 26 3 8 15 25:44 17
14 Moreland City 26 2 8 16 34:73 14
Promotion - Victoria Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Victoria Premier League 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)