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Sputnik vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belarus Belarus

Vysshaya Liga 2021 Central Stadium, Rechitsa
Sat, Aug 28, 2021
0 - 3
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sputnik host Smorgon in the Vysshaya Liga 2021. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Sputnik at 0.5 goals for, 2.6 against; Smorgon at 1.58 for, 1.27 against. Head-to-head, Sputnik have won 0 to Smorgon's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 28, 2021, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.23 xG vs 1.55) point toward Smorgon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sputnik
15%
Draws
85%
Smorgon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Smorgon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Smorgon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Smorgon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vysshaya Liga 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Smorgon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sputnik Clean Sheet 15%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sputnik Smorgon
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 3 13
Draws 1 7
Losses 26 13
Goals Scored 0.5 1.58
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2021 Vysshaya Liga
Sputnik vs Smorgon
0:3
Apr 23, 2021 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Sputnik
2:0
Nov 15, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Smorgon vs Sputnik
2:1
Apr 18, 2020 Pershaya Liga
Sputnik vs Smorgon
1:1
Aug 17, 2019 Pershaya Liga
Sputnik vs Smorgon
3:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sputnik 10 / 100
Smorgon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sputnik Smorgon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sputnik scored in 28% of their last 29 games.

Smorgon has conceded goals in 58% of their last 33 outings.

Away concern: Smorgon has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smorgon
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sputnik

(Home)
28 Nov
Sputnik
0 : 3
Slutsk
20 Nov
Vitebsk
3 : 0
Sputnik
06 Nov
Sputnik
0 : 3
Zhodino
23 Oct
Din. Minsk
3 : 0
Sputnik
16 Oct
Sputnik
0 : 3
Neman
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Smorgon

(Away)
03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0
Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1
Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0
Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2
Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1
Slutsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhtyor Soligorsk 30 24 3 3 62:18 75
2 BATE 30 19 8 3 61:27 65
3 Din. Minsk 30 19 5 6 55:20 62
4 FC Gomel 30 17 8 5 57:23 59
5 Rukh Brest 30 16 10 4 52:28 58
6 Dynamo Brest 30 8 14 8 32:32 38
7 Vitebsk 30 9 10 11 37:41 37
8 Zhodino 30 10 6 14 38:43 36
9 Slutsk 30 9 8 13 36:44 35
10 Isloch Minsk 30 9 7 14 38:47 34
11 Neman 30 9 7 14 36:36 34
12 FC Minsk 30 8 9 13 32:52 33
13 SKA-1938 Minsk 30 8 9 13 35:42 33
14 Slavia Mozyr 30 8 8 14 42:50 32
15 Smorgon 30 4 9 17 26:66 21
16 Sputnik 30 2 1 27 12:82 7
Promotion - Champions League 2022/2023 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa Conference League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Vysshaya Liga 2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Pershaya Liga 2022 (Main)