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SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

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Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord play Rot-Weiss Oberhausen in the Club Friendly 2021. Rot-Weiss Oberhausen are favorites here. Recently, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. Rot-Weiss Oberhausen averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord won 0, Rot-Weiss Oberhausen won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 17, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord and 1.00 for Rot-Weiss Oberhausen. This points to a Rot-Weiss Oberhausen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
25%
Draws
60%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord picked up more points recently compared to Rot-Weiss Oberhausen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Clean Sheet 23%
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.83 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.45

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0:0
Jun 28, 2019 Club Friendly
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
0:8

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord 18 / 100
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Rot-Weiss Oberhausen & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord attacking → ← attacking Rot-Weiss Oberhausen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rot-Weiss Oberhausen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 53
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25