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SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs TuRU Dusseldorf

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord play TuRU Dusseldorf in the Oberliga Niederrhein 2021/2022. SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord are favorites here. Recently, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord averaged 1.83 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. TuRU Dusseldorf averaged 0.91 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord won 0, TuRU Dusseldorf won 1, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 25, 2022 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord and 1.00 for TuRU Dusseldorf. This points to a SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
25%
Draws
15%
TuRU Dusseldorf
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord picked up more points recently compared to TuRU Dusseldorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Clean Sheet 23%
TuRU Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord TuRU Dusseldorf
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.83 0.91
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs TuRU Dusseldorf
0:4
Nov 28, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
TuRU Dusseldorf vs SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
1:1
May 12, 2021 Oberliga Niederrhein
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord vs TuRU Dusseldorf
0:0
Nov 15, 2020 Oberliga Niederrhein
TuRU Dusseldorf vs SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord 59 / 100
TuRU Dusseldorf 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord TuRU Dusseldorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord Win (1)
Secondary Pick SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord attacking → ← attacking TuRU Dusseldorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

TuRU Dusseldorf let in goals in 80% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

SpVgg Sterkrade-Nord went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TuRU Dusseldorf lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 25
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63