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Sri Lanka U19 vs Nepal U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

SAFF Championship U19 2025 Golden Jubilee Stadium, Yupia
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Match Events

45' Event
Dangol S.
61' Event
Dharbendra K.
76' Event
Bam S.

AI Match Summary

The SAFF Championship U19 2025 game between Sri Lanka U19 and Nepal U19 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nepal U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sri Lanka U19
15%
Draws
85%
Nepal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nepal U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nepal U19 have managed 0.47 goals a game lately — Sri Lanka U19 are scoring more at 0.58.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Nepal U19 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this SAFF Championship U19 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Sri Lanka U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Nepal U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U19 Nepal U19
Matches Played 12 17
Wins 1 1
Draws 1 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.58 0.47
Goals Conceded 4.33 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2025 SAFF Championship U20
Sri Lanka U19 vs Nepal U19
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Nepal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dangol S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dharbendra K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U19 10 / 100
Nepal U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U19 Nepal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nepal U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nepal U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 17 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Nepal U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka U19 found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (12 games).

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka U19 VS Nepal U19
0.63 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U19

(Home)
11 May
Sri Lanka U19
0 : 5
Nepal U19
09 May
Sri Lanka U19
0 : 8
India U19
10 Nov
Turkmenistan U19
4 : 2
Sri Lanka U19
08 Nov
Sri Lanka U19
0 : 3
Yemen U19
06 Nov
Qatar U19
5 : 1
Sri Lanka U19
Page 1 of 3

Nepal U19

(Away)
16 May
Bangladesh U19
2 : 1
Nepal U19
13 May
Nepal U19
0 : 4
India U19
11 May
Sri Lanka U19
0 : 5
Nepal U19
10 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U19
0 : 0
Nepal U19
08 Nov
Nepal U19
0 : 4
Iran U19
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh U19 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Maldives U19 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Bhutan U19 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - SAFF Championship U19 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 India U19 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Nepal U19 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Sri Lanka U19 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - SAFF Championship U19 2025 (Play Offs)