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Sri Lanka U23 vs Bahrain U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2020
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Marhoon M.
23' Event
Al Shamsi M.
29' Event
Issa S. R.

AI Match Summary

Bahrain U23 in this AFC Championship U23 2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bahrain U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Sri Lanka U23
15%
Draws
0%
Bahrain U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Bahrain U23 have won more games recently than Sri Lanka U23.
  • Bahrain U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Bahrain U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U23 Bahrain U23
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 0 6
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 0.17 1.23
Goals Conceded 3.94 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 AFC Asian Cup U23
Sri Lanka U23 vs Bahrain U23
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Bahrain U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marhoon M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Issa S. R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.58
Avg xA / game 1.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U23 10 / 100
Bahrain U23 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U23 Bahrain U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahrain U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bahrain U23 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 9.00 goals.

Away concern: Bahrain U23 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sri Lanka U23's goal record stands at 17% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka U23 VS Bahrain U23
0.2 Goals Scored 1.88
3.8 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
80% Over 2.5 25%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
6 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
06 Sept
Sri Lanka U23
0 : 5
Palestine U23
03 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
29 Aug
Syria U23
3 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
27 Aug
Qatar U23
1 : 1
Sri Lanka U23
Page 1 of 4

Bahrain U23

(Away)
11 Dec
Bahrain U23
1 : 2
Kuwait U23
08 Dec
Bahrain U23
0 : 1
Qatar U23
05 Dec
Saudi Arabia U23
5 : 0
Bahrain U23
18 Nov
Iran U23
1 : 0
Bahrain U23
15 Nov
Bahrain U23
0 : 2
Russia U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Oman U23 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Afghanistan U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahrain U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 10:2 6
3 Bangladesh U23 3 1 0 2 2:2 3
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Iran U23 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
3 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
4 Yemen U23 3 0 1 2 0:8 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 1 0 10:2 7
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 7:8 3
4 Maldives U23 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Syria U23 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Kuwait U23 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
4 Pakistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Singapore U23 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
3 Hong Kong U23 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 16:3 7
2 Australia U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
3 Cambodia U23 3 0 1 2 2:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 1 2 1:15 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:16 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 3:17 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 15:2 7
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 12:4 6
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:16 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2020 (Main)