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Sri Lanka U23 vs Qatar U23

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ali H.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Abdurisag Y.
55' Event
Al Hadhrami N.

AI Match Summary

Qatar U23 in this AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sri Lanka U23
30%
Draws
47%
Qatar U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Qatar U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Qatar U23 have won more games recently than Sri Lanka U23.
  • Win probability leans Qatar U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Qatar U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Qatar U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka U23 Qatar U23
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 0 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.17 1.48
Goals Conceded 3.94 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2025 Friendly International
Qatar U23 vs Sri Lanka U23
1:1
Oct 28, 2021 AFC Asian Cup U23
Sri Lanka U23 vs Qatar U23
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurisag Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Hadhrami N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka U23 10 / 100
Qatar U23 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka U23 Qatar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Qatar U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Qatar U23 has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Qatar U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sri Lanka U23's goal record stands at 17% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Qatar U23
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
6 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
06 Sept
Sri Lanka U23
0 : 5
Palestine U23
03 Sept
Uzbekistan U23
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
29 Aug
Syria U23
3 : 0
Sri Lanka U23
27 Aug
Qatar U23
1 : 1
Sri Lanka U23
Page 1 of 4

Qatar U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 6:1 5
3 Yemen U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Sri Lanka U23 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U23 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Tajikistan U23 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 4:3 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 Bahrain U23 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Maldives U23 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
4 Afghanistan U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kuwait U23 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Bangladesh U23 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 India U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Oman U23 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Palestine U23 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
2 Indonesia U23 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
3 China U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brunei U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Singapore U23 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
2 Myanmar U23 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Cambodia U23 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
3 Hong Kong U23 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2022 (Main)