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Sri Lanka vs Papua New Guinea

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Sub
Kammerknecht C. In: Chameera C.
Out: Kammerknecht C.
45'
Steven P.
46'
Sub
Sacayaradjy S. In: Sandesh Pingho S. B. L.
Out: Sacayaradjy S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sri Lanka
15%
Draws
42%
Papua New Guinea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Lanka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea lately — more wins on the board than Sri Lanka.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Sri Lanka taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sri Lanka Clean Sheet 18%
Papua New Guinea Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Lanka Papua New Guinea
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2024 Friendly International
Sri Lanka vs Papua New Guinea
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka 58 / 100
Papua New Guinea 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Lanka Papua New Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Papua New Guinea conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sri Lanka stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Sri Lanka's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Sri Lanka VS Papua New Guinea
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Lanka

(Home)
08 Jun
Sri Lanka
4 : 1
Bhutan
31 Mar
Chinese Taipei
1 : 3
Sri Lanka
18 Nov
Sri Lanka
0 : 4
Thailand
14 Oct
Turkmenistan
2 : 1
Sri Lanka
09 Oct
Sri Lanka
1 : 0
Turkmenistan
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Papua New Guinea

(Away)
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0
Solomon Islands
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