Sport Picks

Asia

SAFF Championship Women Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru Stadium (Fatorda)

Bhutan W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sri Lanka W play Bhutan W in the SAFF Championship Women. Bhutan W are favorites here. Recently, Sri Lanka W averaged 0.43 goals scored and 3.53 conceded. Bhutan W averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.34 conceded. In past meetings, Sri Lanka W won 2, Bhutan W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 28, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Sri Lanka W and 3.94 for Bhutan W. This points to a Bhutan W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%

Sri Lanka W

15%

Draws

64%

Bhutan W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bhutan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence

Sri Lanka W picked up more points recently compared to Bhutan W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 3.94 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Sri Lanka W Clean Sheet 10%

Bhutan W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sri Lanka W	Bhutan W
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	4	11
Draws	0	3
Losses	26	15
Goals Scored	0.43	1.93
Goals Conceded	3.53	2.34
Expected Goals (xG)	0.13	3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.75	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2026 SAFF Championship Women

Sri Lanka W vs Bhutan W

Possession: 41% - 42% Cards: 3 - 4

0:4

Oct 21, 2024 SAFF Championship Women

Bhutan W vs Sri Lanka W

Possession: 43% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sep 9, 2022 SAFF Championship Women

Sri Lanka W vs Bhutan W

Possession: 58% - 41% Cards: 2 - 2

0:5

Dec 28, 2016 SAFF Championship Women

Bhutan W vs Sri Lanka W

Possession: 44% - 52% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Nov 14, 2014 SAFF Championship Women

Bhutan W vs Sri Lanka W

Possession: 55% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Lanka W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1

Avg xA / game 0.07

Bhutan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tshering P. C.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Lhazom D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.85

Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Lanka W 21 / 100

Bhutan W 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sri Lanka W Bhutan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bhutan W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Bhutan W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +61.5%

7.69

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sri Lanka W attacking → ← attacking Bhutan W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka W scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Bhutan W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Sri Lanka W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Bhutan W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 36

0.13 Goals expected (xG) 3.13

4.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Nepal W	2	2	0	3:0	6
2	Bhutan W	2	1	1	4:1	3
3	Sri Lanka W	2	0	2	0:6	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	India W	2	2	0	14:0	6
2	Bangladesh W	2	1	1	4:5	3
3	Maldives W	2	0	2	2:15	0