Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sri Pahang vs Penang

Malaysia Malaysia

FA Cup 2024 Darulmakmur Stadium, Kuantan
Fri, Jun 14, 2024
1 - 2
12:15 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Azswad S.
79' Event
Agapov M.
1' Event
Hidalgo M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Penang in this FA Cup 2024 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Sri Pahang
15%
Draws
39%
Penang
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Penang lately — more wins on the board than Sri Pahang.
  • Win probability leans Sri Pahang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Penang arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sri Pahang, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 20%
Penang Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Pahang Penang
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Penang
3:2
Oct 20, 2024 Super League
Penang vs Sri Pahang
0:1
Jun 14, 2024 FA Cup
Sri Pahang vs Penang
1:2
Nov 26, 2023 Super League
Penang vs Sri Pahang
3:2
May 20, 2023 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Penang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Agapov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Penang Compare

Top Goalscorer Azswad S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Pahang 85 / 100
Penang 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Pahang Penang

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Penang's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sri Pahang has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penang
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Pahang

(Home)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

Penang

(Away)
20 Sept
Penang
2 : 7
Johor DT
12 Sept
Penang
3 : 2
Kelantan Red Warrior
09 Sept
Penang
2 : 1
Melaka FC
05 Sept
Terengganu
0 : 0
Penang
02 Sept
Melaka FC
0 : 1
Penang
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Johor DT 4
Kelantan The Real Warriors 0
PDRM FC 0
MUFT 3
Kedah 5
Bukit Tambun 0
Sri Pahang 1
Penang 2
Selangor 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 0
Kuala Lumpur City 2
Kuching City FC 3
Sabah 7
Kuala Lumpur Rovers 0
Terengganu 2
Perak 1
Quarter-finals
Johor DT 13
MUFT 0
Kedah 1
Penang 0
Selangor 5
Kuching City FC 4
Sabah 0
Terengganu 7
Semi-finals
Johor DT 5
Kedah 1
Selangor 6
Terengganu 4
Final
Johor DT 6
Selangor 1