Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sri Pahang vs Sabah

Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 Darulmakmur Stadium, Kuantan
Sun, Feb 2, 2025
2 - 1
12:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Ting D.
44'
Brundo S.
46'
Sub
Jamaluddin M. S. In: Azih A.
Out: Jamaluddin M. S.

AI Match Summary

Sri Pahang in this Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sri Pahang
15%
Draws
21%
Sabah
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sri Pahang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sabah lately — more wins on the board than Sri Pahang.
  • Win probability leans Sri Pahang's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sabah arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sabah, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 20%
Sabah Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Pahang Sabah
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.47 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Super League
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
2:2
Feb 2, 2025 Malaysia Cup
Sri Pahang vs Sabah
2:1
Jan 18, 2025 Malaysia Cup
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
1:1
Aug 9, 2024 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Sabah
2:3
Jul 15, 2023 Super League
Sabah vs Sri Pahang
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Sherman K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sabah Compare

Top Goalscorer Kumaahran S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Pahang 85 / 100
Sabah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Pahang Sabah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Pahang Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Sabah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.

Sri Pahang went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sabah
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Pahang

(Home)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

Sabah

(Away)
13 Sept
Sabah
1 : 2
DPMM
09 Sept
Selangor
2 : 1
Sabah
05 Sept
Sabah
0 : 2
Kuching City FC
02 Sept
Sabah
2 : 2
Selangor
28 Aug
Sabah
2 : 0
Penang
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kuala Lumpur Rovers 0
Johor DT 9
Kedah 4
Kuala Lumpur City 6
Melaka FC 1
Terengganu 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 4
PDRM FC 2
Sri Pahang 3
Selangor 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 1
Perak 6
Penang 0
Kuching City FC 3
Putrajaya Antlers 0
Sabah 7
Quarter-finals
Johor DT 6
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Terengganu 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 2
Sri Pahang 4
Perak 3
Kuching City FC 0
Sabah 1
Semi-finals
Johor DT 6
Terengganu 1
Sri Pahang 3
Sabah 2
Final
Johor DT 2
Sri Pahang 1