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Sri Pahang vs Selangor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malaysia Malaysia

Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 Darulmakmur Stadium, Kuantan
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Selvaraj S.
83' Event
Jambor N.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Malaysia Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sri Pahang
15%
Draws
44%
Selangor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selangor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Selangor lately — more wins on the board than Sri Pahang.
  • Win probability leans Sri Pahang's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Selangor arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sri Pahang, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sri Pahang Clean Sheet 10%
Selangor Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sri Pahang Selangor
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 9 24
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.47 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Selangor vs Sri Pahang
2:0
Dec 1, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Selangor vs Sri Pahang
1:2
Nov 23, 2024 Malaysia Cup
Sri Pahang vs Selangor
1:1
Jul 31, 2024 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Selangor
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Super League
Sri Pahang vs Selangor
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sri Pahang Compare

Top Goalscorer Selvaraj S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Selangor Compare

Top Goalscorer Jambor N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sri Pahang 34 / 100
Selangor 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sri Pahang Selangor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Pahang's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Sri Pahang remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Selangor has conceded goals in 57% of their last 37 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Selangor
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sri Pahang

(Home)
26 Apr
Johor DT
2 : 1
Sri Pahang
19 Apr
Sri Pahang
3 : 2
Penang
12 Apr
Perak
0 : 1
Sri Pahang
08 Apr
Sri Pahang
6 : 0
Kedah
08 Mar
PDRM FC
1 : 3
Sri Pahang
Page 1 of 6

Selangor

(Away)
19 Sept
Star City
1 : 4
Selangor
13 Sept
Selangor
3 : 0
Kuala Lumpur City
09 Sept
Selangor
2 : 1
Sabah
06 Sept
Selangor
3 : 2
Melaka FC
02 Sept
Sabah
2 : 2
Selangor
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kuala Lumpur Rovers 0
Johor DT 9
Kedah 4
Kuala Lumpur City 6
Melaka FC 1
Terengganu 4
Negeri Sembilan FA 4
PDRM FC 2
Sri Pahang 3
Selangor 2
Kelantan The Real Warriors 1
Perak 6
Penang 0
Kuching City FC 3
Putrajaya Antlers 0
Sabah 7
Quarter-finals
Johor DT 6
Kuala Lumpur City 1
Terengganu 6
Negeri Sembilan FA 2
Sri Pahang 4
Perak 3
Kuching City FC 0
Sabah 1
Semi-finals
Johor DT 6
Terengganu 1
Sri Pahang 3
Sabah 2
Final
Johor DT 2
Sri Pahang 1