Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sriwijaya vs Dejan

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Fadly M.
22'
Suryana A.
35'
Pangestu T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Sriwijaya and Dejan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sriwijaya
15%
Draws
85%
Dejan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dejan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dejan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dejan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Dejan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sriwijaya Dejan
Matches Played 38 24
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 28 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Dejan
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Championship
Dejan vs Sriwijaya
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sriwijaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Dejan Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sriwijaya 10 / 100
Dejan 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sriwijaya Dejan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dejan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dejan conceded in 83% of 24 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Dejan's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Sriwijaya found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (38 games).

Scoring Trends

Sriwijaya VS Dejan
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
5.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sriwijaya

(Home)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 8

Dejan

(Away)
19 Sept
Dejan
3 : 3
RANS Nusantara
12 Sept
Dejan
0 : 1
Tornado Pekanbaru
15 Feb
Isenmulang Kalteng
1 : 0
Dejan
10 Feb
Dejan
0 : 1
Bekasi City
04 Feb
Persikabo 1973
1 : 3
Dejan
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiraja Aceh 16 10 4 2 33:17 34
2 PSKC Cimahi 16 8 3 5 19:15 27
3 PSPS Riau 16 7 6 3 27:19 27
4 PSMS Medan 16 7 5 4 23:13 26
5 Bekasi City 16 7 4 5 23:18 25
6 Persikota Tangerang 16 6 2 8 23:24 20
7 Dejan 16 5 5 6 17:23 20
8 Sriwijaya 16 3 5 8 19:23 14
9 Persikabo 1973 16 1 2 13 15:47 5
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bhayangkara 16 9 6 1 27:7 33
2 PSIM Yogyakarta 16 8 5 3 28:7 29
3 Persijap Jepara 16 7 7 2 20:9 28
4 Isenmulang Kalteng 16 7 4 5 20:14 25
5 Nusantara 16 4 7 5 14:21 19
6 Persekat Tegal 16 5 3 8 17:21 18
7 Persipa Pati 16 4 6 6 11:16 18
8 Persiku Kudus 16 3 7 6 8:15 16
9 Persikas Subang 16 2 1 13 10:45 7
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persela Lamongan 14 7 5 2 23:13 26
2 Deltras Sidoarjo 14 6 7 1 22:11 25
3 Persipura Jayapura 14 7 2 5 25:14 23
4 Persibo Bojonegoro 14 7 2 5 25:17 23
5 Persipal BU 14 6 4 4 18:18 22
6 Gresik 14 6 3 5 18:16 21
7 RANS Nusantara 14 2 3 9 9:36 9
8 Persewar Waropen 14 1 2 11 16:31 -4
Promotion - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)