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Sriwijaya vs Garudayaksa

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Eka F. In: Utama R.
Out: Eka F.
46'
Sub
Arya M. In: Kader S.
Out: Arya M.
46'
Sub
Yekti A. In: Husnuzhon
Out: Yekti A.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sriwijaya and Garudayaksa finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Garudayaksa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sriwijaya
20%
Draws
80%
Garudayaksa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Garudayaksa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Sriwijaya haven't matched Garudayaksa's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Garudayaksa's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Garudayaksa here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Garudayaksa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sriwijaya Garudayaksa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 15
Draws 2 12
Losses 26 4
Goals Scored 0.6 1.74
Goals Conceded 3.17 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Garudayaksa
0:3
Nov 11, 2025 Championship
Garudayaksa vs Sriwijaya
7:2
Sep 14, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Garudayaksa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sriwijaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Garudayaksa Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Nascimento
2 Goals
Assists Leader Utama R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sriwijaya 10 / 100
Garudayaksa 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sriwijaya Garudayaksa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Garudayaksa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sriwijaya scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Garudayaksa has conceded goals in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Garudayaksa's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sriwijaya VS Garudayaksa
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sriwijaya

(Home)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

Garudayaksa

(Away)
19 Sept
Persebaya
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
11 Sept
Garudayaksa
0 : 2
Persik Kediri
06 Sept
Java United
1 : 1
Garudayaksa
09 May
PSS Sleman
2 : 3
Garudayaksa
02 May
Garudayaksa
3 : 1
Persikad Depok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)