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Sriwijaya vs Nusantara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Indonesia Indonesia

Liga 2 2024/2025 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Gandrum Q.
26' Event
Fadly M.
29' Event
Alhayani F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2024/2025 game between Sriwijaya and Nusantara finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sriwijaya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sriwijaya
15%
Draws
85%
Nusantara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nusantara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Nusantara carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Nusantara are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Nusantara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sriwijaya Nusantara
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 3 9
Losses 28 11
Goals Scored 0.68 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Championship
Nusantara vs Sriwijaya
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Nusantara
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sriwijaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alhayani F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nusantara Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sriwijaya 10 / 100
Nusantara 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sriwijaya Nusantara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nusantara Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nusantara let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Nusantara registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sriwijaya scored in 44% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

Sriwijaya VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sriwijaya

(Home)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 7

Nusantara

(Away)
15 Feb
Nusantara
2 : 1
Sriwijaya
10 Feb
Persikota Tangerang
3 : 3
Nusantara
04 Feb
PSMS Medan
4 : 0
Nusantara
30 Jan
Nusantara
0 : 1
PSMS Medan
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
3 : 0
Nusantara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSMS Medan 6 5 0 1 14:2 15
2 Sriwijaya 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
3 Nusantara 6 2 1 3 6:12 7
4 Persikota Tangerang 6 1 1 4 8:14 4
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Isenmulang Kalteng 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Bekasi City 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
3 Dejan 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
4 Persikabo 1973 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persiku Kudus 8 5 1 2 6:3 16
2 Persekat Tegal 8 4 1 3 12:10 13
3 Persibo Bojonegoro 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
4 Gresik 8 3 3 2 10:8 12
5 Persewar Waropen 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persikas Subang 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
2 Persipal BU 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
3 Persipura Jayapura 8 4 2 2 18:6 14
4 Persipa Pati 8 2 3 3 9:7 9
5 RANS Nusantara 8 0 2 6 3:25 2
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)