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Sriwijaya vs Persikad Depok

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sriwijaya play Persikad Depok in the Championship. Persikad Depok are favorites here. Recently, Sriwijaya averaged 0.6 goals scored and 3.17 conceded. Persikad Depok averaged 1.44 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. In past meetings, Sriwijaya won 0, Persikad Depok won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Sriwijaya and 3.06 for Persikad Depok. This points to a Persikad Depok double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Sriwijaya
21%
Draws
65%
Persikad Depok
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Persikad Depok

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Sriwijaya picked up more points recently compared to Persikad Depok.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 3.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
Persikad Depok Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sriwijaya Persikad Depok
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 2 9
Draws 2 7
Losses 26 11
Goals Scored 0.6 1.44
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persikad Depok
1:2
Nov 19, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs Persikad Depok
0:3
Sep 22, 2025 Championship
Persikad Depok vs Sriwijaya
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sriwijaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Persikad Depok Compare

Top Goalscorer Hi Tenang B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afriyanto F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sriwijaya 15 / 100
Persikad Depok 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sriwijaya Persikad Depok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Persikad Depok Win (2)
Secondary Pick Persikad Depok & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sriwijaya attacking → ← attacking Persikad Depok

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sriwijaya scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Persikad Depok let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Sriwijaya went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Persikad Depok lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 34
0.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
4.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Garudayaksa271410349:1952
2Adhyaksa27149464:3451
3Bekasi City27128742:2744
4Sumsel United27126940:3342
5Persiraja Aceh271010742:3240
6PSPS Riau27910850:4537
7PSMS Medan2799933:3136
8Persikad Depok27971139:4534
9Persekat Tegal27691223:3827
10Sriwijaya27022515:932
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1PSS Sleman27168353:1956
2Persipura Jayapura27175544:1756
3PS Barito Putera27158441:1853
4Tornado Pekanbaru27155747:2150
5Deltras Sidoarjo271331139:3342
6Persela Lamongan27118834:2641
7Persiku Kudus27761435:4127
8PSIS Semarang27651622:5023
9Balikpapan27471623:4219
10Persipal BU27072019:907