Sport Picks
Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan
Indonesia
Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang 
Match Events
15'
15'
Rudiyana
Assist: Freitas V.
16'
16'
Zico S.
53'
53'
Wicaksono T.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sriwijaya and PSMS Medan finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSMS Medan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSMS Medan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sriwijaya haven't matched PSMS Medan's recent run of results.
- PSMS Medan are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors PSMS Medan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
PSMS Medan Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sriwijaya | PSMS Medan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 26 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.17 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.70 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
1:0
Dec 27, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
3:1
Feb 10, 2025 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSMS Medan
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Championship
PSMS Medan vs Sriwijaya
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sriwijaya Compare
Top Goalscorer Zico S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.54
Avg xA / game 0.35
PSMS Medan Compare
Top Goalscorer Rudiyana
2 Goals Assists Leader Maring A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sriwijaya 10 / 100
PSMS Medan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sriwijaya PSMS Medan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSMS Medan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
PSMS Medan has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sriwijaya scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.
Away concern: PSMS Medan has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sriwijaya VS PSMS Medan
0.14 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sriwijaya
(Home) 02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0 Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0 Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0 Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3 Garudayaksa
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6 PSPS Riau
20 Feb
Sriwijaya
1 : 2 Persikad Depok
16 Feb
Sriwijaya
0 : 1 Bekasi City
24 Jan
Sriwijaya
0 : 5 Sumsel United
Page 1 of 3
PSMS Medan
(Away) 27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
20 Sept
PSMS Medan
6 : 0 Persiku Kudus
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Bekasi City
0 : 1 PSMS Medan
13 Sept
Sumsel United
2 : 2 PSMS Medan
01 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 1 PSMS Medan
29 Jul
Persebaya
1 : 0 PSMS Medan
02 May
Persiraja Aceh
1 : 1 PSMS Medan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garudayaksa | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 49:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Isenmulang Kalteng | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 64:34 | 51 |
| 3 | Bekasi City | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:27 | 44 |
| 4 | Sumsel United | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 40:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Persiraja Aceh | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 42:32 | 40 |
| 6 | PSPS Riau | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 50:45 | 37 |
| 7 | PSMS Medan | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33:31 | 36 |
| 8 | Persikad Depok | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 39:45 | 34 |
| 9 | Persekat Tegal | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 23:38 | 27 |
| 10 | Sriwijaya | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 15:93 | 2 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSS Sleman | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 53:19 | 56 |
| 2 | Persipura Jayapura | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 44:17 | 56 |
| 3 | PS Barito Putera | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 41:18 | 53 |
| 4 | Tornado Pekanbaru | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:21 | 50 |
| 5 | Deltras Sidoarjo | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 6 | Persela Lamongan | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 41 |
| 7 | Persiku Kudus | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 35:41 | 27 |
| 8 | PSIS Semarang | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:50 | 23 |
| 9 | Balikpapan | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 23:42 | 19 |
| 10 | Persipal BU | 27 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 19:90 | 7 |
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
