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Sriwijaya vs PSPS Riau

Indonesia Indonesia

Championship 2025/2026 Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang
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Match Events

14' Event
Arya M.
24'
Ardiansyah F.
27' Event
Fathoni I.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Sriwijaya and PSPS Riau finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PSPS Riau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Sriwijaya
15%
Draws
85%
PSPS Riau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSPS Riau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Sriwijaya haven't matched PSPS Riau's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on PSPS Riau taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and PSPS Riau have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sriwijaya Clean Sheet 10%
PSPS Riau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sriwijaya PSPS Riau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 8
Losses 26 9
Goals Scored 0.6 1.76
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.64 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSPS Riau
0:6
Jan 4, 2026 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSPS Riau
2:5
Oct 10, 2025 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sriwijaya
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Championship
Sriwijaya vs PSPS Riau
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Championship
PSPS Riau vs Sriwijaya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sriwijaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Arya M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zico S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.49
Avg xA / game 0.32

PSPS Riau Compare

Top Goalscorer Tuasalamony A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Santoso N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sriwijaya 10 / 100
PSPS Riau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sriwijaya PSPS Riau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PSPS Riau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

PSPS Riau let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Sriwijaya found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

PSPS Riau lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sriwijaya VS PSPS Riau
0.14 Goals Scored 2.5
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sriwijaya

(Home)
02 May
Isenmulang Kalteng
4 : 0
Sriwijaya
25 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 3
Garudayaksa
19 Apr
PSMS Medan
1 : 0
Sriwijaya
12 Apr
Persekat Tegal
2 : 0
Sriwijaya
03 Apr
Sriwijaya
0 : 6
PSPS Riau
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PSPS Riau

(Away)
04 Oct
Semen Padang
0 : 1
PSPS Riau
26 Sept
Sumsel United
1 : 2
PSPS Riau
19 Sept
PSPS Riau
2 : 1
Persiraja Aceh
11 Sept
PSIS Semarang
2 : 1
PSPS Riau
29 Aug
Persela Lamongan
1 : 0
PSPS Riau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Garudayaksa 27 14 10 3 49:19 52
2 Isenmulang Kalteng 27 14 9 4 64:34 51
3 Bekasi City 27 12 8 7 42:27 44
4 Sumsel United 27 12 6 9 40:33 42
5 Persiraja Aceh 27 10 10 7 42:32 40
6 PSPS Riau 27 9 10 8 50:45 37
7 PSMS Medan 27 9 9 9 33:31 36
8 Persikad Depok 27 9 7 11 39:45 34
9 Persekat Tegal 27 6 9 12 23:38 27
10 Sriwijaya 27 0 2 25 15:93 2
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSS Sleman 27 16 8 3 53:19 56
2 Persipura Jayapura 27 17 5 5 44:17 56
3 PS Barito Putera 27 15 8 4 41:18 53
4 Tornado Pekanbaru 27 15 5 7 47:21 50
5 Deltras Sidoarjo 27 13 3 11 39:33 42
6 Persela Lamongan 27 11 8 8 34:26 41
7 Persiku Kudus 27 7 6 14 35:41 27
8 PSIS Semarang 27 6 5 16 22:50 23
9 Balikpapan 27 4 7 16 23:42 19
10 Persipal BU 27 0 7 20 19:90 7
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Championship 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)