Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Olcese E.
Assist: Toccaceli A.
69'
69'
Vitaioli M.
AI Match Summary
La Fiorita in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Fiorita.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: La Fiorita
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- La Fiorita have won more games recently than SS Murata.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on La Fiorita taking it.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and La Fiorita have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
SS Murata Clean Sheet 12%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Murata | La Fiorita |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 3 | 15 |
| Draws | 1 | 10 |
| Losses | 26 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.8 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.90 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:2
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
1:2
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
SS Murata vs La Fiorita
0:3
Sep 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
3:1
Apr 27, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SS Murata
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Murata Compare
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45
La Fiorita Compare
Top Goalscorer Olcese E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vitaioli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.55
Avg xA / game 0.95
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Murata 11 / 100
La Fiorita 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Murata La Fiorita
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick La Fiorita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
La Fiorita has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
SS Murata scored in 40% of their last 30 games.
SS Murata has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SS Murata VS La Fiorita
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
2.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
83% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Murata
(Home) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
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18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 San Giovanni
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3 Virtus
18 Apr
SS Murata
1 : 4 Fiorentino
08 Apr
SS Murata
0 : 3 Tre Fiori
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La Fiorita
(Away) 19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1 San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
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19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2 La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0 La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2 La Fiorita
07 Jul
UNA Strassen
1 : 0 La Fiorita
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
