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SS Nola 1925 vs Arzachena

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
SS Nola 1925 Logo

SS Nola 1925

1 - 2
FT
Arzachena Logo

Arzachena

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Palmieri C.
46' Event
Gibilterra G.
90' Event
Poli A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arzachena in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
SS Nola 1925
30%
Draws
51%
Arzachena
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzachena lately — more wins on the board than SS Nola 1925.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
SS Nola 1925 Clean Sheet 22%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Nola 1925 Arzachena
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Arzachena
1:2
Dec 18, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs SS Nola 1925
0:2
Feb 28, 2021 Serie D - Group G
SS Nola 1925 vs Arzachena
1:0
Oct 11, 2020 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs SS Nola 1925
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Nola 1925 Compare

Top Goalscorer Palmieri C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibilterra G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Nola 1925 10 / 100
Arzachena 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Nola 1925 Arzachena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzachena has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: SS Nola 1925 scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SS Nola 1925 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Nola 1925 VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Nola 1925

(Home)
10 May
SS Nola 1925
1 : 1
Heraclea
03 May
SS Nola 1925
2 : 1
Martina Calcio
26 Apr
Paganese
5 : 0
SS Nola 1925
19 Apr
SS Nola 1925
0 : 0
Ferrandina
12 Apr
Manfredonia
1 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 7

Arzachena

(Away)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)