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SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
SS Pennarossa Logo

SS Pennarossa

3 - 0
FT
Cailungo Logo

Cailungo

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Abouzine M.
34'
Bua A.
70' Event
Belward S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SS Pennarossa
15%
Draws
28%
Cailungo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SS Pennarossa lately — more wins on the board than Cailungo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • SS Pennarossa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SS Pennarossa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 20%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Pennarossa Cailungo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 23
Goals Scored 1.21 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Coppa Titano
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
3:0
Apr 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
2:0
Apr 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SS Pennarossa
7:0
Dec 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Cailungo
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SS Pennarossa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abouzine M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belward S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cailungo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Pennarossa 32 / 100
Cailungo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Pennarossa Cailungo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cailungo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

SS Pennarossa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Cailungo lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SS Pennarossa VS Cailungo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Pennarossa

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

Cailungo

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2
Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tre Penne 2
Juvenes/Dogana 1
Fiorentino 0
Tre Fiori 1
SP Domagnano 3
SC Faetano 1
San Giovanni 0
SP Cosmos 1
AC Libertas 0
Folgore 2
SS Pennarossa 3
Cailungo 0
SS Murata 0
Virtus 3
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -