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SS Pennarossa vs Folgore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SS Pennarossa host Folgore in the Campionato Sammarinese. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: SS Pennarossa at 1.21 goals for, 1.93 against; Folgore at 2.07 for, 1.1 against. Past meetings favor Folgore slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 2.56, favoring Folgore. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
SS Pennarossa
15%
Draws
61%
Folgore
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folgore lately — more wins on the board than SS Pennarossa.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Folgore taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Folgore have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Pennarossa Folgore
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.21 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Jan 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Pennarossa
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
Folgore 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Pennarossa Folgore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

SS Pennarossa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Folgore has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

SS Pennarossa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SS Pennarossa VS Folgore
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Pennarossa

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

Folgore

(Away)
19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0
San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2
Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0
Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0
SS Murata
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)