Sport Picks
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Garcia Rufer A.
57'
57'
Raschi J.
61'
61'
Raschi J.
Assist: Ura R.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Pennarossa and Folgore finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Folgore.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Folgore
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Folgore come out ahead of SS Pennarossa on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Folgore's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Folgore have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Folgore Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Pennarossa | Folgore |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 2.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
2:3
Oct 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Jan 22, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Folgore vs SS Pennarossa
2:2
Sep 14, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
0:3
Apr 13, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Folgore
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Pintore M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Folgore Compare
Top Goalscorer Raschi J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Garcia Rufer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
Folgore 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Pennarossa Folgore
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Folgore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Attacking prowess: SS Pennarossa scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Folgore let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
SS Pennarossa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SS Pennarossa VS Folgore
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Pennarossa
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 3
Folgore
(Away) 19 Sept
Folgore
2 : 0 San Marino Academy U22
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Folgore
5 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 2 Folgore
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
02 May
SP Domagnano
0 : 1 Folgore
25 Apr
SP Domagnano
3 : 7 Folgore
12 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
2 : 2 Folgore
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
