Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SS Pennarossa vs San Giovanni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SS Pennarossa host San Giovanni in the Campionato Sammarinese. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. SS Pennarossa have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against San Giovanni's 0.9 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor San Giovanni slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 14, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward San Giovanni. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SS Pennarossa
15%
Draws
28%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SS Pennarossa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • SS Pennarossa's 1.21 goals per match outpaces what San Giovanni have produced (0.9).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 16%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SS Pennarossa San Giovanni
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs San Giovanni
2:1
Mar 2, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs San Giovanni
0:5
Apr 6, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SS Pennarossa
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SS Pennarossa 30 / 100
San Giovanni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SS Pennarossa San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SS Pennarossa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

SS Pennarossa's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

San Giovanni let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

San Giovanni's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SS Pennarossa VS San Giovanni
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SS Pennarossa

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0
Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4
SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2
SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)