Sport Picks
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Penne
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
12'
12'
Parisi C.
Assist: Pintore M.
66'
66'
Pieri R.
Assist: Pastorelli L.
90'
90'
Peluso L.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SS Pennarossa and Tre Penne finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tre Penne.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
15%
61%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tre Penne
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Tre Penne carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Tre Penne a 61% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Tre Penne Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SS Pennarossa | Tre Penne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 22 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 2.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 0.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Penne
1:2
Oct 5, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SS Pennarossa
2:0
Jan 26, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Penne
0:0
Sep 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Penne vs SS Pennarossa
0:0
Feb 17, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs Tre Penne
0:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SS Pennarossa Compare
Top Goalscorer Parisi C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Tre Penne Compare
Top Goalscorer Pieri R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Peluso L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.15
Avg xA / game 1.32
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
Tre Penne 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SS Pennarossa Tre Penne
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tre Penne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SS Pennarossa scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Tre Penne conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.
SS Pennarossa went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
SS Pennarossa VS Tre Penne
1.57 Goals Scored 1.88
2.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
57% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SS Pennarossa
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
18 Apr
SS Pennarossa
0 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
21 Mar
SS Pennarossa
2 : 0 SS Murata
Page 1 of 3
Tre Penne
(Away) 20 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 Juvenes/Dogana
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
08 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3 Tre Penne
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
09 May
La Fiorita
1 : 1 Tre Penne
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
