Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SSA vs Barreiras

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Douglas
32'
Neto
35' Event
Douglas

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SSA
15%
Draws
51%
Barreiras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barreiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Barreiras haven't matched SSA's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Barreiras taking it.
  • SSA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SSA, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SSA have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SSA Clean Sheet 15%
Barreiras Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSA Barreiras
Matches Played 30 11
Wins 13 8
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.47 2.09
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Baiano 2
SSA vs Barreiras
3:1
Jul 11, 2026 Baiano 2
Barreiras vs SSA
2:1
Jul 5, 2026 Baiano 2
SSA vs Barreiras
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Douglas
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ribeiro Cruz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Barreiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeferson
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSA 23 / 100
Barreiras 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSA Barreiras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreiras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSA's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Barreiras conceded in 73% of 11 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

SSA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SSA VS Barreiras
2 Goals Scored 2.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SSA

(Home)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

Barreiras

(Away)
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Fluminense de Feira 2
Feira FC 0
SSA 4
Barreiras 3
Final
Fluminense de Feira 4
SSA 1