Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SSA vs Itabuna

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Baiano 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
SSA
20%
Draws
46%
Itabuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabuna have won more games recently than SSA.
  • Itabuna are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SSA Clean Sheet 29%
Itabuna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SSA Itabuna
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.47 1.3
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.59
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2025 Baiano 2
SSA vs Itabuna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SSA 18 / 100
Itabuna 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SSA Itabuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabuna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SSA scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Itabuna conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 0.00 goals when they meet.

SSA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SSA VS Itabuna
1.88 Goals Scored 0.8
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.2
63% Over 1.5 20%
50% Over 2.5 20%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SSA

(Home)
02 Aug
Fluminense de Feira
2 : 0
SSA
26 Jul
SSA
1 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
Page 1 of 6

Itabuna

(Away)
13 Jul
Itabuna
0 : 1
Galicia
06 Jul
Galicia
0 : 0
Itabuna
29 Jun
SSA
0 : 0
Itabuna
15 Jun
Itabuna
1 : 0
Bahia de Feira
08 Jun
Teixeira de Freitas
0 : 3
Itabuna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabuna 9 7 2 0 20:7 23
2 Bahia de Feira 9 6 2 1 28:5 20
3 Fluminense de Feira 9 6 2 1 16:5 20
4 Galicia 9 4 3 2 20:9 15
5 EC Ypiranga 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
6 Vitoria da Conquista 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
7 SSA 9 2 4 3 10:8 10
8 Leonico 8 2 1 5 12:20 7
9 Grapiuna 9 0 1 8 4:31 1
10 Teixeira de Freitas 9 0 1 8 0:24 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 2025 (Play Offs)