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St Albans vs Avondale FC

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Churchill Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Green M.
16' Event
Fornaroli B.
52' Event
Gulevski J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between St Albans and Avondale FC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Avondale FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
St Albans
15%
Draws
51%
Avondale FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • St Albans haven't matched Avondale FC's recent run of results.
  • St Albans are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St Albans Clean Sheet 15%
Avondale FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Albans Avondale FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 18
Draws 8 2
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.3 2.4
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs St Albans
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Avondale FC
2:3
Jun 14, 2025 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs St Albans
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Avondale FC
1:4
May 25, 2024 NPL Victoria
Avondale FC vs St Albans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulevski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koek N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Avondale FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Green M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fornaroli B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Albans 35 / 100
Avondale FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Albans Avondale FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

St Albans found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Avondale FC conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

St Albans went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Albans VS Avondale FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Albans

(Home)
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0
St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2
Hume City
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Avondale FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Oakleigh Cannons
0 : 1
Avondale FC
12 Sept
Hume City
2 : 3
Avondale FC
05 Sept
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Preston Lions
29 Aug
Avondale FC
2 : 0
Hume City
22 Aug
Altona Magic
0 : 2
Avondale FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)