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St Albans vs George Cross

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Churchill Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Jalloh H.
40' Event
Gulevski J.
63' Event
Anderson A.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between St Albans and George Cross finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St Albans
30%
Draws
31%
George Cross
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • George Cross carry the better recent record into this one.
  • St Albans are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
St Albans Clean Sheet 16%
George Cross Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Albans George Cross
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.3 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs George Cross
2:2
Mar 28, 2026 NPL Victoria
George Cross vs St Albans
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Albans Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulevski J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

George Cross Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalloh H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Albans 57 / 100
George Cross 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Albans George Cross

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Albans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: St Albans scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

George Cross's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

St Albans has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Albans VS George Cross
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Albans

(Home)
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0
St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2
Hume City
Page 1 of 6

George Cross

(Away)
29 Aug
George Cross
1 : 0
South Melbourne
22 Aug
Hume City
3 : 2
George Cross
15 Aug
George Cross
3 : 2
Avondale FC
01 Aug
Altona Magic
1 : 1
George Cross
24 Jul
Heidelberg Utd
0 : 0
George Cross
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)