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St Albans vs Melbourne City U21

Australia Australia

NPL Victoria Churchill Reserve, Melbourne
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ballah R.
63' Event
Ballah R.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Victoria game between St Albans and Melbourne City U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Melbourne City U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
St Albans
15%
Draws
0%
Melbourne City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Albans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melbourne City U21 come out ahead of St Albans on wins alone.
  • Model gives St Albans a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Melbourne City U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St Albans Clean Sheet 17%
Melbourne City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Albans Melbourne City U21
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.3 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 NPL Victoria
St Albans vs Melbourne City U21
0:2
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Victoria
Melbourne City U21 vs St Albans
5:0
May 25, 2019 Victoria Premier League
St Albans vs Melbourne City U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Albans Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Melbourne City U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ballah R.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Albans 84 / 100
Melbourne City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Albans Melbourne City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Albans Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melbourne City U21 let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Melbourne City U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

St Albans found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

St Albans VS Melbourne City U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Albans

(Home)
29 Aug
St Albans
6 : 0
Dandenong Thunder
21 Aug
Green Gully
1 : 2
St Albans
14 Aug
St Albans
1 : 1
Bentleigh Greens
02 Aug
South Melbourne
2 : 0
St Albans
24 Jul
St Albans
3 : 2
Hume City
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Melbourne City U21

(Away)
29 Aug
Melbourne City U21
1 : 2
Green Gully
22 Aug
Melbourne City U21
2 : 6
Bentleigh Greens
19 Aug
Preston Lions
4 : 0
Melbourne City U21
15 Aug
Melbourne City U21
0 : 3
South Melbourne
01 Aug
Hume City
1 : 0
Melbourne City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 26 16 6 4 56:24 54
2 Hume City 26 15 4 7 51:36 49
3 Avondale FC 26 15 2 9 65:34 47
4 South Melbourne 26 13 2 11 39:36 41
5 Heidelberg Utd 26 11 7 8 42:34 40
6 Preston Lions 26 15 6 5 41:19 39
7 George Cross 26 9 11 6 35:34 38
8 St Albans 26 9 7 10 36:43 34
9 Dandenong City SC 26 10 7 9 35:31 33
10 Melbourne City U21 26 8 6 12 42:42 30
11 Altona Magic 26 7 7 12 28:42 28
12 Bentleigh Greens 26 6 6 14 27:51 24
13 Green Gully 26 4 6 16 23:52 18
14 Dandenong Thunder 26 4 3 19 23:65 15
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)