Sport Picks
St Albans vs South Melbourne
Australia
NPL Victoria Churchill Reserve 
AI Match Summary
St Albans play South Melbourne in the NPL Victoria. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Albans averaged 1 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. South Melbourne averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, St Albans won 1, South Melbourne won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for St Albans and 1.56 for South Melbourne. This points to a South Melbourne double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- South Melbourne has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to St Albans.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for South Melbourne.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Victoria provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St Albans | South Melbourne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 36 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St Albans Compare
South Melbourne Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St Albans scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
South Melbourne let in goals in 69% of their last 36 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
St Albans went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
South Melbourne lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43:18 | 44 |
| 2 | Hume City | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 40:24 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 53:27 | 34 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 30:16 | 32 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33:26 | 32 |
| 6 | South Melbourne | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 31:32 | 31 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 37:22 | 30 |
| 8 | George Cross | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25:26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City SC | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 26:27 | 22 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 24:36 | 22 |
| 11 | St Albans | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21:34 | 22 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 18:44 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 22:43 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 14:42 | 10 |