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St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC

Barbados Barbados

Premier League 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Andrew Lions play Ellerton FC in the Premier League 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Andrew Lions averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. Ellerton FC averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. In past meetings, St Andrew Lions won 0, Ellerton FC won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for St Andrew Lions and 2.56 for Ellerton FC. This points to a Ellerton FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
St Andrew Lions
30%
Draws
51%
Ellerton FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ellerton FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • St Andrew Lions picked up more points recently compared to Ellerton FC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74%
St Andrew Lions Clean Sheet 10%
Ellerton FC Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Andrew Lions Ellerton FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 7 9
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1.43 2.03
Goals Conceded 3.1 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:3
Feb 24, 2026 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
1:4
Jul 23, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
4:1
Apr 5, 2023 Premier League
Ellerton FC vs St Andrew Lions
3:3
Feb 29, 2020 Premier League
St Andrew Lions vs Ellerton FC
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Andrew Lions 19 / 100
Ellerton FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Andrew Lions Ellerton FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ellerton FC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

St Andrew Lions attacking → ← attacking Ellerton FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Andrew Lions scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Ellerton FC let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

St Andrew Lions went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Ellerton FC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 60
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Empire22154344:2349
2Paradise SC22135468:2444
3Weymouth Wales22125552:1941
4St Andrew Lions22931035:3430
5Notre Dame22831143:7327
6Brittons Hill United22471135:4419
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1BDF Sport Programm22164275:1752
2Ellerton FC22114741:3037
3UWI Blackbirds22106660:3036
4Porey Springs22431527:7015
5Barbados Soccer Academy22331619:6712
6Youth Milan22231714:829