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Stadium Background

St. Andrews vs Msida

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Toure I.
18' Event
Eziukwu U.
57' Event
Cumbo C.

AI Match Summary

The Challenge League 2023/2024 game between St. Andrews and Msida finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Andrews.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
St. Andrews
35%
Draws
32%
Msida
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Andrews come out ahead of Msida on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on St. Andrews taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors St. Andrews here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 68%
Msida Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Andrews Msida
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.41 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2024 Challenge League
Msida vs St. Andrews
1:3
Feb 3, 2024 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
3:2
Feb 8, 2015 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
2:1
Oct 4, 2014 Challenge League
Msida vs St. Andrews
1:3
Jan 25, 2014 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Msida
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Andrews Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cumbo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Msida Compare

Top Goalscorer Eziukwu U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Andrews 50 / 100
Msida 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Andrews Msida

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Andrews Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Msida let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

St. Andrews's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Away concern: Msida has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

St. Andrews VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Andrews

(Home)
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1
Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0
St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2
St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1
Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3
Birzebbuga
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Msida

(Away)
26 Apr
Msida
1 : 1
Attard
21 Apr
Msida
2 : 2
Fgura
14 Apr
Tarxien
3 : 1
Msida
07 Apr
Msida
1 : 3
St. Andrews
17 Mar
Zebbug
6 : 0
Msida
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)