Sport Picks
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Malta
Challenge League 2025/2026 Centenary Stadium, Ta' Qali 
Match Events
12'
12'
Costa C.
27'
27'
Galliano M.
(Penalty)
54'
54'
Carabott S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
30%
54%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vittoriosa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Vittoriosa haven't matched St. Andrews's recent run of results.
- Model gives Vittoriosa a 54% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
St. Andrews Clean Sheet 14%
Vittoriosa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Andrews | Vittoriosa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
3:3
Dec 6, 2025 FA Trophy
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
3:0
Feb 26, 2023 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs St. Andrews
3:1
Dec 16, 2022 Challenge League
St. Andrews vs Vittoriosa
2:0
Jan 31, 2021 Challenge League
Vittoriosa vs St. Andrews
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. Andrews Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Vittoriosa Compare
Top Goalscorer Carabott S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Boakye S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Andrews 19 / 100
Vittoriosa 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Andrews Vittoriosa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Vittoriosa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: St. Andrews scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Vittoriosa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
St. Andrews went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
St. Andrews VS Vittoriosa
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Andrews
(Home) 18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
13 Sept
Victoria Hotspurs
3 : 0 St. Andrews
19 Apr
Pieta
2 : 2 St. Andrews
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3 Birzebbuga
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
St. Andrews
1 : 1 Santa Lucia
11 Apr
St. Andrews
0 : 1 Swieqi
04 Apr
St. Andrews
1 : 3 Birzebbuga
07 Mar
St. Andrews
0 : 3 Sirens
14 Feb
St. Andrews
2 : 1 Santa Lucia
Page 1 of 3
Vittoriosa
(Away) 19 Sept
Vittoriosa
2 : 0 Gudja
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
18 Apr
Vittoriosa
2 : 3 Gudja
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1 Zebbug
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Santa Lucia
0 : 0 Vittoriosa
01 Apr
Mtarfa
0 : 1 Vittoriosa
15 Mar
Mgarr
1 : 1 Vittoriosa
03 Mar
Gudja
2 : 1 Vittoriosa
21 Feb
Marsa
2 : 2 Vittoriosa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Balzan FC | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 37:10 | 35 |
| 2 | Melita | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 36:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Birzebbuga | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 29:15 | 31 |
| 4 | Sirens | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 39:19 | 29 |
| 5 | Swieqi | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 32:23 | 29 |
| 6 | Fgura | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 33:24 | 25 |
| 7 | Pieta | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27:21 | 24 |
| 8 | St. Andrews | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:23 | 23 |
| 9 | Mgarr | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 28:24 | 22 |
| 10 | Gudja | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 16:13 | 22 |
| 11 | Santa Lucia | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27:25 | 18 |
| 12 | Zurrieq | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 21:27 | 14 |
| 13 | Vittoriosa | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Marsa | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:28 | 8 |
| 15 | Zebbug | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9:37 | 8 |
| 16 | Mtarfa | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:67 | -2 |
Promotion - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
