Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
St. Asaph in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Asaph
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- St. Asaph have won more games recently than Llandudno Junction.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on St. Asaph taking it.
- St. Asaph have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor St. Asaph, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St. Asaph Clean Sheet 16%
Llandudno Junction Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. Asaph | Llandudno Junction |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 11 | 30 |
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.18 | 3.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.63 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2023 FAW Welsh Cup
St. Asaph vs Llandudno Junction
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. Asaph 84 / 100
Llandudno Junction 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. Asaph Llandudno Junction
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick St. Asaph Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Llandudno Junction let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.
Away concern: Llandudno Junction has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
St. Asaph scored in 45% of their last 11 games.
These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
St. Asaph VS Llandudno Junction
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
St. Asaph
(Home) 20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6 Bangor 1876
20 Jun
Mold Alexandra
2 : 0 St. Asaph
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2 Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1 Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
Page 1 of 3
20 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 6 Bangor 1876
21 Sept
St. Asaph
0 : 2 Llangollen
14 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 1 Prestatyn
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
01 Oct
St. Asaph
0 : 8 Prestatyn
Page 1 of 2
Llandudno Junction
(Away) 16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3 Llandudno Junction
05 May
Caersws FC
4 : 1 Llandudno Junction
25 Apr
Flint Town
3 : 1 Llandudno Junction
18 Apr
Llandudno Junction
0 : 5 Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
St. Asaph
1 : 0 Llandudno Junction
12 May
Queens Park
2 : 3 Llandudno Junction
05 May
Caersws FC
4 : 1 Llandudno Junction
25 Apr
Flint Town
3 : 1 Llandudno Junction
11 Apr
Holywell Town FC
8 : 0 Llandudno Junction
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
