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St. Croix vs Bavarian United SC

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USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Croix
6%
Draws
4%
Bavarian United SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bavarian United SC haven't matched St. Croix's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans St. Croix's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%
Bavarian United SC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Croix Bavarian United SC
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Bavarian United SC
3:3
Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs St. Croix
1:4
Jun 24, 2023 USL League Two
Bavarian United SC vs St. Croix
4:1
May 21, 2023 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Bavarian United SC
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Croix 83 / 100
Bavarian United SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Croix Bavarian United SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bavarian United SC conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

St. Croix's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

St. Croix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Croix VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%