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St. Croix vs Rochester FC

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Croix in this USL League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. Croix.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Croix
6%
Draws
4%
Rochester FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rochester FC lately — more wins on the board than St. Croix.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Croix taking it.
  • Regular USL League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 15%
Rochester FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Croix Rochester FC
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.63 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2026 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
1:3
Jun 14, 2026 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
3:0
Jul 11, 2025 USL League Two
Rochester FC vs St. Croix
5:0
Jun 13, 2025 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
2:3
Jun 27, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Rochester FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Croix 84 / 100
Rochester FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Croix Rochester FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rochester FC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

St. Croix's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

St. Croix has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Croix VS Rochester FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Croix

(Home)
11 Jul
St. Croix
3 : 0
Rockford Raptors
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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Rochester FC

(Away)
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
07 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Minneapolis City
02 Jul
Rochester FC
0 : 4
Chicago Dutch Lions
27 Jun
Rochester FC
0 : 2
Rockford Raptors
17 Jun
Rochester FC
2 : 1
RKC SC
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