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St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between St. Croix and Thunder Bay Chill finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thunder Bay Chill.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St. Croix
15%
Draws
42%
Thunder Bay Chill
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Croix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Thunder Bay Chill carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives St. Croix a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
St. Croix Clean Sheet 10%
Thunder Bay Chill Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Croix Thunder Bay Chill
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 10 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 24 6
Goals Scored 1.44 2.19
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill
1:2
Jun 16, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
2:2
Jun 14, 2024 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
1:2
Jun 27, 2023 USL League Two
St. Croix vs Thunder Bay Chill
0:2
Jun 9, 2023 USL League Two
Thunder Bay Chill vs St. Croix
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Croix 74 / 100
Thunder Bay Chill 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Croix Thunder Bay Chill

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Croix Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Croix's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Thunder Bay Chill's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St. Croix went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Croix VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Croix

(Home)
11 Jul
St. Croix
3 : 0
Rockford Raptors
09 Jul
Rochester FC
1 : 3
St. Croix
05 Jul
St. Croix
7 : 1
Edgewater Castle
01 Jul
Minneapolis City
3 : 0
St. Croix
21 Jun
Sueno
3 : 1
St. Croix
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Thunder Bay Chill

(Away)
20 Jul
Peoria IL
2 : 0
Thunder Bay Chill
13 Jul
Minneapolis City
2 : 1
Thunder Bay Chill
11 Jul
St. Croix
1 : 2
Thunder Bay Chill
07 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
2 : 0
Rochester FC
05 Jul
Thunder Bay Chill
3 : 2
Minneapolis City
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