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St Etienne vs Rodez

France France

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Fri, May 15, 2026
1 - 0
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne play Rodez in the Ligue 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, St Etienne averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Rodez averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, St Etienne won 3, Rodez won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for St Etienne and 1.38 for Rodez. This points to a Rodez double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
St Etienne
30%
Draws
34%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • St Etienne demonstrates higher offensive output (1.75 avg goals) than Rodez (1.63 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for St Etienne.
  • Cup tournament structure in Ligue 1 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 17%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Rodez
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 15
Draws 5 9
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Rodez
1:0
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs St Etienne
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Rodez
4:0
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Rodez vs St Etienne
0:0
May 24, 2024 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Rodez
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 36 / 100
Rodez 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Rodez

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Rodez let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rodez lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Rodez
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nice-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
St Etienne-
TBD-
Red Star2
Rodez3
Semi-finals
Nice-
TBD-
St Etienne1
Rodez0
Final
Nice4
St Etienne1