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St Etienne vs Biel

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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between St Etienne and Biel finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
St Etienne
15%
Draws
39%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Biel's 2.21 goals per match outpaces what St Etienne have produced (1.89).
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 12%
Biel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Biel
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 1.89 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
St Etienne vs Biel
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 65 / 100
Biel 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

St Etienne's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Biel conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Biel
3.13 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
22 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 0
Grenoble
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1
Clermont
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Biel

(Away)
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
30 Aug
Bulle
1 : 1
Biel
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
19 Aug
Bruhl SG
0 : 1
Biel
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