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St Etienne vs Grenoble

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne host Grenoble in the Ligue 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: St Etienne at 1.57 goals for, 1 against; Grenoble at 1 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor St Etienne slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring St Etienne. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
St Etienne
20%
Draws
11%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Grenoble.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 16%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Grenoble
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 5 13
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs St Etienne
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Grenoble
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Grenoble vs St Etienne
5:3
Apr 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs St Etienne
0:2
Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
St Etienne vs Grenoble
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 84 / 100
Grenoble 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Grenoble let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

St Etienne has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Grenoble
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
14 Aug
St Etienne
3 : 1
Clermont
08 Aug
Sochaux
0 : 3
St Etienne
01 Aug
St Etienne
4 : 3
Venezia
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
22 Jul
Rangers
2 : 1
St Etienne
Page 1 of 6

Grenoble

(Away)
14 Aug
Grenoble
0 : 0
Metz
08 Aug
Dunkerque
4 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
Andrezieux
3 : 2
Grenoble
01 Aug
Clermont
1 : 1
Grenoble
25 Jul
Grenoble
0 : 3
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Annecy 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Dunkerque 2 1 1 0 7:5 4
4 Metz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Montpellier 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Red Star 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
7 Rodez 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
8 Guingamp 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Pau 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Laval 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
11 Reims 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Dijon 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 Nancy 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Boulogne 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
15 Grenoble 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Clermont 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Sochaux 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
18 Nantes 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)