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St Etienne vs Grenoble - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mouazan B.
13' Event
Csongvai A.
Assist: Breum J.
19' Event
Ballo T.
Assist: Cardona I.

AI Match Summary

St Etienne in this Ligue 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
St Etienne
30%
Draws
31%
Grenoble
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • St Etienne have won more games recently than Grenoble.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 18%
Grenoble Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Grenoble
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 17 5
Draws 5 13
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.07 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Grenoble
4:0
Mar 14, 2026 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs St Etienne
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Grenoble
1:1
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Grenoble vs St Etienne
5:3
Apr 23, 2024 Ligue 2
Grenoble vs St Etienne
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne Compare

Top Goalscorer Csongvai A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ballo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Grenoble Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 76 / 100
Grenoble 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Grenoble

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St Etienne scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Grenoble has conceded goals in 59% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Grenoble
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
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Grenoble

(Away)
02 Oct
Grenoble
0 : 0
Lausanne Ouchy
18 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 1
Clermont
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
04 Sept
Grenoble
1 : 2
Annecy
28 Aug
Laval
0 : 3
Grenoble
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)