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St Etienne vs Rodez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Ligue 2 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Étienne
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St Etienne host Rodez in the Ligue 2. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: St Etienne at 2.07 goals for, 1.1 against; Rodez at 1.83 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor St Etienne slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.56) point toward St Etienne. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
St Etienne
20%
Draws
23%
Rodez
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St Etienne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St Etienne come out ahead of Rodez on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
St Etienne Clean Sheet 15%
Rodez Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne Rodez
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 2.07 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Rodez
1:0
May 2, 2026 Ligue 2
Rodez vs St Etienne
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 Ligue 2
St Etienne vs Rodez
4:0
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Rodez vs St Etienne
0:0
May 24, 2024 Ligue 1
St Etienne vs Rodez
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne 84 / 100
Rodez 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne Rodez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: St Etienne scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Rodez let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

St Etienne went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne VS Rodez
3.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne

(Home)
02 Oct
St Etienne
5 : 1
Sion
19 Sept
Metz
2 : 2
St Etienne
12 Sept
Dunkerque
2 : 1
St Etienne
05 Sept
St Etienne
3 : 1
Montpellier
31 Aug
Dijon
2 : 3
St Etienne
Page 1 of 6

Rodez

(Away)
03 Oct
Rodez
2 : 0
Inter Escaldes
18 Sept
Rodez
3 : 4
Nancy
11 Sept
Rodez
0 : 1
Grenoble
05 Sept
Metz
4 : 1
Rodez
28 Aug
Rodez
2 : 2
Pau
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St Etienne 7 5 1 1 19:8 16
2 Red Star 7 4 2 1 9:7 14
3 Reims 7 3 4 0 15:9 13
4 Montpellier 7 3 3 1 6:5 12
5 Metz 7 2 4 1 10:7 10
6 Nancy 7 3 1 3 8:7 10
7 Annecy 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Sochaux 7 2 4 1 4:5 10
9 Dijon 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
10 Pau 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
11 Guingamp 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
12 Dunkerque 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
13 Grenoble 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
14 Rodez 7 2 1 4 14:16 7
15 Nantes 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
16 Clermont 7 0 6 1 4:6 6
17 Boulogne 7 0 5 2 3:5 5
18 Laval 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
Promotion - Ligue 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3 2027/2028 (Main)