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St Etienne W vs Fleury 91 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Salif Keita, Saint-Étienne
St Etienne W Logo

St Etienne W

1 - 1
FT
Fleury 91 W Logo

Fleury 91 W

Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Ali Nadjim N.
45' Event
Ali Nadjim N.
46'
Sub
Chossenotte S. In: Caputo C.
Out: Chossenotte S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 game between St Etienne W and Fleury 91 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
St Etienne W
30%
Draws
27%
Fleury 91 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Fleury 91 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on St Etienne W taking it.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 74.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 68%
Fleury 91 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne W Fleury 91 W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Fleury 91 W
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs St Etienne W
0:0
Jan 17, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Fleury 91 W vs St Etienne W
6:0
Nov 9, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Fleury 91 W
3:2
Jan 21, 2024 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Fleury 91 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Nadjim N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Fleury 91 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Laurent E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne W 95 / 100
Fleury 91 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne W Fleury 91 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: St Etienne W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Fleury 91 W conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

St Etienne W's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne W VS Fleury 91 W
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.88
86% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne W

(Home)
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 6

Fleury 91 W

(Away)
04 Oct
Fleury 91 W
1 : 3
PSG W
19 Sept
Saint-Malo W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
12 Sept
Nantes W
1 : 1
Fleury 91 W
04 Sept
Fleury 91 W
1 : 7
OL Lyonnes W
29 Aug
Bourges 18 W
0 : 2
Fleury 91 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)