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St Etienne W vs Lens W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 Stade Salif Keita, Saint-Étienne
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ali Nadjim N.
Assist: Cambot S.
28'
Sub
Ali Nadjim N. In: Istocki N.
Out: Ali Nadjim N.
37' Event
Gbedjissi A.

AI Match Summary

St Etienne W in this Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored St Etienne W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
St Etienne W
30%
Draws
6%
Lens W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: St Etienne W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • St Etienne W haven't matched Lens W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives St Etienne W a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
St Etienne W Clean Sheet 68%
Lens W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St Etienne W Lens W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Premiere Ligue Women
St Etienne W vs Lens W
2:1
Dec 5, 2025 Premiere Ligue Women
Lens W vs St Etienne W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St Etienne W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali Nadjim N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kelley M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Lens W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbedjissi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St Etienne W 95 / 100
Lens W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St Etienne W Lens W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St Etienne W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lens W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

St Etienne W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Lens W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St Etienne W VS Lens W
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

St Etienne W

(Home)
26 Sept
St Etienne W
2 : 0
Nantes W
20 Sept
Bourges 18 W
0 : 3
St Etienne W
13 Sept
St Etienne W
1 : 1
Le Mans W
06 Sept
Thonon Evian W
1 : 1
St Etienne W
22 Aug
St Etienne W
4 : 2
Roubaix W
Page 1 of 6

Lens W

(Away)
03 Oct
Paris FC W
4 : 1
Lens W
26 Sept
Auxerre W
1 : 0
Lens W
19 Sept
Lens W
2 : 2
Toulouse W
12 Sept
Marseille W
2 : 1
Lens W
05 Sept
Lens W
0 : 2
PSG W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 OL Lyonnes W 22 19 3 0 76:11 60
2 Paris FC W 22 15 3 4 46:16 48
3 PSG W 22 15 2 5 48:26 47
4 Nantes W 22 12 5 5 42:34 41
5 Fleury 91 W 22 9 6 7 27:21 33
6 Dijon W 22 9 6 7 21:28 33
7 Strasbourg W 22 7 5 10 26:38 26
8 Le Havre W 22 5 6 11 25:45 21
9 Marseille W 22 5 4 13 26:44 19
10 Montpellier W 22 4 3 15 28:45 15
11 Lens W 22 4 3 15 20:50 15
12 St Etienne W 22 3 4 15 11:38 13
Promotion - Premiere Ligue Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Seconde Ligue Women (Main)