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St. Gallen W vs Basel W

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup Women Espenmoos, St. Gallen
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Ammann L.
26' Event
Dominguez S.
29' Event
Seghir S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
St. Gallen W
30%
Draws
47%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Basel W taking it.
  • Basel W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 10%
Basel W Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Gallen W Basel W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
1:0
May 1, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Swiss Cup Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Gallen W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Basel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dominguez S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seghir S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Gallen W 18 / 100
Basel W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Gallen W Basel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Basel W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

St. Gallen W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

St. Gallen W VS Basel W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

St. Gallen W

(Home)
13 Sept
Young Boys W
4 : 1
St. Gallen W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
16 Aug
St. Gallen W
1 : 0
Yverdon W
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Basel W

(Away)
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
29 Aug
Servette W
2 : 1
Basel W
14 Aug
Basel W
2 : 0
Young Boys W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Young Boys W 4
Thun W 0
St. Gallen W 1
Basel W 3
Luzern W 2
Zurich W 6
Servette W 5
Rapperswil-Jona W 0
Semi-finals
Young Boys W 2
Basel W 1
Zurich W 2
Servette W 3
Final
Young Boys W 0
Servette W 1