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St. George City vs Sydney FC U23

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Berry B.
27' Event
France M.
36' Event
Lacey J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between St. George City and Sydney FC U23 finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sydney FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
St. George City
39%
Draws
30%
Sydney FC U23
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
St. George City Clean Sheet 18%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City Sydney FC U23
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
0:5
Jun 6, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
3:1
Feb 22, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
5:0
Jul 6, 2024 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney FC U23
1:2
May 1, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs St. George City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. George City Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer France M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lacey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 32 / 100
Sydney FC U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City Sydney FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sydney FC U23 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

St. George City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. George City's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

St. George City VS Sydney FC U23
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918