Sport Picks
St. George City vs Sydney Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
NPL NSW Penshurst Park, Sydney 
Match Events
49'
49'
Bedleg L.
90'
90'
Wells M.
90'
90'
Wells M.
AI Match Summary
St. George City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
15%
50%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sydney Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than St. George City.
- Model gives Sydney Utd a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
St. George City Clean Sheet 19%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | St. George City | Sydney Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 22 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 0.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Utd
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Utd
0:2
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
St. George City Compare
Top Goalscorer Bedleg L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Sydney Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
St. George City 16 / 100
Sydney Utd 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
St. George City Sydney Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sydney Utd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
St. George City found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: St. George City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Sydney Utd conceded in 55% of 33 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
St. George City VS Sydney Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
St. George City
(Home) 30 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 2 St. George City
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
02 Aug
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1 St. George City
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
St. George City
1 : 0 Rockdale Ilinden
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2 UNSW
20 Jun
St. George City
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
06 Jun
St. George City
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 3
Sydney Utd
(Away) 13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
06 Sept
Sydney Utd
3 : 1 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0 St George Saints
23 Aug
Sydney Utd
0 : 0 APIA Leichhardt
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
1 : 3 Sydney Utd
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
12 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney Utd
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
