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St. George City vs Sydney Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event

AI Match Summary

St. George City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
St. George City
17%
Draws
70%
Sydney Utd
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Sydney Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sydney Utd lately — more wins on the board than St. George City.
  • Model gives Sydney Utd a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
St. George City Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney Utd Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City Sydney Utd
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Utd
1:0
Apr 12, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Sydney Utd
0:2
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
1:0
Aug 25, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Utd vs St. George City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 16 / 100
Sydney Utd 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City Sydney Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SYD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. George City found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Sydney Utd conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

St. George City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George City VS Sydney Utd
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

St. George City

(Home)
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0
Sydney Utd
19 Jul
Blacktown City
3 : 0
St. George City
11 Jul
St. George City
0 : 2
UNSW
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
SD Raiders
3 : 1
St. George City
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Sydney Utd

(Away)
25 Jul
St. George City
1 : 0
Sydney Utd
22 Jul
Sydney Utd
2 : 1
Central Coast
19 Jul
Marconi Stallions
0 : 1
Sydney Utd
12 Jul
Sydney Utd
1 : 0
Rockdale Ilinden
05 Jul
Blacktown City
0 : 0
Sydney Utd
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)