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St. George City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Penshurst Park
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pedersen J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

St. George City in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St. George City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
St. George City
33%
Draws
27%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: St. George City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Western Sydney Wanderers U21 have won more games recently than St. George City.
  • St. George City are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • St. George City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
St. George City Clean Sheet 12%
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. George City Western Sydney Wanderers U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St. George City
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1:0
Jun 3, 2023 NPL NSW
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 vs St. George City
1:2
Feb 20, 2023 NPL NSW
St. George City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
4:2
Aug 13, 2022 NSW League One
St. George City vs Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. George City 38 / 100
Western Sydney Wanderers U21 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. George City Western Sydney Wanderers U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Sydney Wanderers U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St. George City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

St. George City scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

St. George City VS Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions23174245:1455
2APIA Leichhardt23163447:2751
3Sydney Utd23153534:1748
4Rockdale Ilinden23113936:3236
5Sutherland Sharks231121036:3035
6Sydney FC U2323104932:3434
7Wollongong2395926:2932
8NWS Spirit23941027:2731
9Manly Utd2386925:2930
10Western Sydney Wanderers U2123851042:3429
11UNSW23841132:3528
12SD Raiders23751130:3926
13St. George City23671022:3725
14Blacktown City23571130:3922
15St George Saints23611622:3919
16Sydney Olympic23531525:4918