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St George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St George Saints host APIA Leichhardt in the NPL NSW. APIA Leichhardt go into this one as the clear favorite. St George Saints have averaged 1 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against APIA Leichhardt's 2.25 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, St George Saints have won 0 to APIA Leichhardt's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 2.31, favoring APIA Leichhardt. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
St George Saints
6%
Draws
90%
APIA Leichhardt
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: APIA Leichhardt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to APIA Leichhardt lately — more wins on the board than St George Saints.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on APIA Leichhardt taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 10%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints APIA Leichhardt
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 24
Draws 3 3
Losses 20 4
Goals Scored 1 2.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt
2:3
Mar 15, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
3:3
Jun 29, 2024 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs St George Saints
5:0
Mar 23, 2024 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs APIA Leichhardt
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 10 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints APIA Leichhardt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick API Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Defensive concern: APIA Leichhardt conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

St George Saints scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

St George Saints went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS APIA Leichhardt
1 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
25 Jul
St George Saints
0 : 0
Sydney FC U23
18 Jul
St George Saints
1 : 6
Rockdale Ilinden
11 Jul
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
St George Saints
05 Jul
Marconi Stallions
2 : 0
St George Saints
27 Jun
St George Saints
1 : 2
Sydney Olympic
Page 1 of 6

APIA Leichhardt

(Away)
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1
UNSW
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5
APIA Leichhardt
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2
APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)