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St George Saints vs Blacktown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW St George Stadium, Sydney
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Casella J.
(Penalty)
16'
Husoy J.

AI Match Summary

St George Saints in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored St George Saints.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
St George Saints
20%
Draws
23%
Blacktown City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: St George Saints

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Blacktown City have won more games recently than St George Saints.
  • St George Saints are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
St George Saints Clean Sheet 12%
Blacktown City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St George Saints Blacktown City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 19 13
Goals Scored 0.93 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Blacktown City
1:0
May 10, 2026 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
2:1
Jul 27, 2025 NPL NSW
St George Saints vs Blacktown City
3:2
Apr 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
3:2
Jun 2, 2024 NPL NSW
Blacktown City vs St George Saints
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St George Saints 35 / 100
Blacktown City 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St George Saints Blacktown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: St George Saints scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Blacktown City conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: St George Saints stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St George Saints VS Blacktown City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

St George Saints

(Home)
12 Sept
St George Saints
3 : 1
Northern Tigers
05 Sept
Northern Tigers
0 : 0
St George Saints
30 Aug
Sydney Utd
6 : 0
St George Saints
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
15 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
1 : 2
St George Saints
Page 1 of 6

Blacktown City

(Away)
30 Aug
Blacktown City
1 : 3
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
22 Aug
St George Saints
1 : 0
Blacktown City
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
NWS Spirit
3 : 1
Blacktown City
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2
Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)